Forest Park
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #64
Brown County Semi-State Rank #10
Crawford County Regional Rank #2
Jasper Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 1.8%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Austin Invitational Bloomington North Early Bird Salem Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity / Valkyrie Invitational Pike Central Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 647 794 701 689 676 685 599 663 636 621 621
Team Adjusted Rating 794 701 689 676 685 599 663 636 621 621
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Austin Invitational Bloomington North Early Bird Salem Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity / Valkyrie Invitational Pike Central Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
112  Ellie Hall 10 19:47 20:08 19:45 20:10 20:03 19:37 19:34 19:39 20:04 19:53 19:42 19:40 20:00
407  Josie Berg 12 21:01 21:01 21:30 20:56 21:01 21:32 21:06 20:53 20:58 20:57 20:50
469  Danielle Eckert 9 21:12 21:05 20:59 21:37 21:24 21:07 21:00 21:19 21:20 21:06 21:08
747  Karli Kitten 9 21:57 25:07 22:39 22:15 22:12 22:18 21:39 21:43 21:34 21:49 21:42
958  Abby Hauser 12 22:24 22:50 22:22 22:04 22:15 22:31 22:23 22:05 22:44 22:26 22:20 22:34
Sara Kitten 11 23:44 25:43 25:45 24:55 25:40 24:28 24:04 23:38 23:28 23:27
Amber Thesing 12 25:07 25:43 25:31 24:33 23:53 25:08 25:50 26:02 25:31 25:34 24:49




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 1.8% 23.9 613 0.2 1.7
Semi-State 100% 11.0 311 1.8 4.9 11.1 14.7 13.9 12.6 11.4 11.4 9.3 6.6 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.4 86 64.2 34.5 1.3
Sectionals 100% 1.4 46 63.5 35.6 0.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellie Hall 78.3% 92.7 77.9% 78.3%
Josie Berg 1.8% 163.0 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Eckert 1.8% 172.0 0.0% 0.0%
Karli Kitten 1.8% 196.5 0.0% 0.0%
Abby Hauser 1.8% 200.9 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Kitten 1.8% 206.3 0.0% 0.0%
Amber Thesing 1.8% 207.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellie Hall 100% 18.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.7 1.7 2.7 2.6 4.3 3.7 4.3 5.1 5.1 5.6 4.6 4.8 5.0 3.9 4.3 3.7 3.8 3.2 4.5 100.0%
Josie Berg 100% 65.3 100.0%
Danielle Eckert 100% 71.7 100.0%
Karli Kitten 100% 108.3 80.9%
Abby Hauser 100% 130.9 29.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellie Hall 100% 2.8 0.5 7.1 56.1 18.2 8.8 5.5 2.3 1.3 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Josie Berg 100% 12.5 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.6 4.4 10.7 12.7 12.5 13.9 11.1 9.2 7.5 5.4 3.8 1.8 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Danielle Eckert 100% 14.7 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.7 3.4 5.7 9.3 10.4 10.5 12.2 10.0 9.3 8.2 5.8 4.2 3.5 2.7 1.0 0.8 0.6 100.0%
Karli Kitten 100% 25.9 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.6 2.8 3.7 5.7 6.4 8.9 9.6 100.0%
Abby Hauser 100% 33.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellie Hall 1.6 8.0 69.6 22.4 0.1
Josie Berg 4.7 0.6 27.6 29.6 20.8 11.2 5.1 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1
Danielle Eckert 6.1 0.1 8.9 16.4 23.1 19.3 12.5 8.8 5.5 2.9 1.6 0.9 0.2
Karli Kitten 13.3 0.4 1.6 2.8 5.1 7.9 10.9 15.3 20.0 15.3 9.7 6.2 2.6 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1
Abby Hauser 17.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.5 4.4 9.2 12.3 16.5 15.8 14.3 11.7 6.5 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.5